Parma vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
11.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2000 |
JUV
1 - 0
PAR
52%
24%
24%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
PAR
0 - 0
UDI
56%
23%
21%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
ROM
0 - 0
PAR
47%
24%
29%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
PAR
3 - 1
VNZ
70%
19%
11%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2000 |
TOR
2 - 2
PAR
23%
25%
52%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2000 |
LEC
2 - 1
TOR
44%
27%
29%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
FIO
3 - 0
LEC
69%
18%
12%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
LEC
2 - 1
CAG
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
BAR
3 - 1
LEC
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
LEC
0 - 0
ROM
25%
26%
50%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | -1 |