Parma vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
68.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
BRE
1 - 2
PAR
35%
25%
40%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2020 |
PAR
2 - 1
NAP
16%
23%
62%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
PAR
2 - 3
SAM
32%
26%
42%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2020 |
ACM
3 - 1
PAR
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2020 |
PAR
2 - 2
BOL
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2020 |
ACM
1 - 1
ATL
36%
25%
39%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2020 |
ATL
1 - 0
BOL
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
VER
1 - 1
ATL
15%
19%
66%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2020 |
ATL
6 - 2
BRE
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2020 |
JUV
2 - 2
ATL
60%
21%
19%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |