PSG vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
8.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
PSG
5 - 1
LYO
66%
19%
15%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2015 |
PSG
2 - 0
SHA
57%
20%
23%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
NIC
0 - 3
PSG
20%
24%
57%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2015 |
ANG
0 - 0
PSG
10%
20%
70%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
PSG
4 - 1
TRO
82%
12%
5%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
MON
1 - 0
ASS
43%
28%
29%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2015 |
ASS
1 - 1
LAZ
31%
25%
44%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
ASS
1 - 1
REN
52%
25%
23%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2015 |
LIL
1 - 0
ASS
34%
29%
37%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
ASS
3 - 0
GUI
57%
24%
19%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +1 |