Q. Europa League 4a Ronda Final
Global 5-4
PSG vs Maccabi Tel Aviv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
LIL
0 - 0
PSG
67%
20%
13%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
PSG
3 - 1
ASS
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
PSG
1 - 1
ROM
31%
25%
44%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
PSG
1 - 0
FCP
36%
25%
39%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 0
PSG
76%
15%
9%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Maccabi Tel Aviv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
MTA
2 - 3
HAP
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
BSA
1 - 1
MTA
37%
27%
36%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2010 |
MTA
1 - 0
OLP
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
MTA
2 - 0
MAC
57%
24%
20%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2010 |
OLP
2 - 1
MTA
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |