UEFA Super Cup Final
Global 2-9
PSG vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
29.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1996 |
PSG
1 - 1
MPL
73%
18%
9%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1996 |
NAN
0 - 0
PSG
37%
25%
37%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1996 |
LYO
2 - 1
PSG
29%
27%
44%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1996 |
PSG
1 - 2
ASN
79%
15%
6%
|
91 | 71 | 20 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1996 |
CAE
1 - 3
PSG
17%
24%
60%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1997 |
JUV
0 - 0
ATL
76%
17%
8%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1997 |
PAR
1 - 0
JUV
27%
26%
46%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1996 |
PIA
1 - 1
JUV
19%
24%
57%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1996 |
INT
1 - 1
JUV
37%
27%
36%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1996 |
JUV
3 - 2
VER
81%
14%
5%
|
92 | 72 | 20 | 0 |