Parc vs Morell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
10.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parc
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
GOR
0 - 1
PAR
58%
21%
22%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 4
CEE
51%
21%
28%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SJU
1 - 1
PAR
80%
13%
7%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 2
CFV
18%
20%
62%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 0
PAR
19%
21%
60%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Morell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 1
TTE
22%
21%
56%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 1
GOR
20%
21%
59%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
CEE
4 - 0
MOR
61%
20%
20%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 5
SJU
10%
17%
73%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CFV
2 - 1
MOR
82%
13%
6%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |