Paraná vs Salgueiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
13.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 0
PAR
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 1
POR
23%
27%
51%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
BOA
1 - 2
PAR
41%
27%
33%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
CCR
1 - 2
PAR
23%
22%
55%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
PAR
2 - 2
ARA
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
SAL
2 - 0
DUQ
24%
27%
50%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
ABC
1 - 1
SAL
78%
16%
7%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
SAL
1 - 1
SAO
15%
25%
60%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
SAL
0 - 2
CEN
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
CAB
2 - 2
SAL
31%
26%
43%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |