Q. Europa League Playoffs Final
Global 2-4
PAOK vs Rapid Wien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
37.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PAOK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
PAO
4 - 1
BNE
38%
28%
34%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
BNE
0 - 2
PAO
61%
23%
17%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
PAO
0 - 2
EIN
58%
24%
19%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
PAO
0 - 0
MLL
24%
28%
49%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
PAO
0 - 1
ATR
52%
26%
21%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Rapid Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
RAP
3 - 0
STR
56%
24%
21%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
RBS
0 - 2
RAP
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
RAP
2 - 0
VOJ
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
RAP
0 - 3
AUS
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
VOJ
2 - 1
RAP
44%
26%
31%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |