Conference League Last 16
Global 5-3
PAOK vs Dinamo Zagreb analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
35.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PAOK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
PAO
0 - 1
ARI
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
DZG
2 - 0
PAO
53%
23%
25%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
LAM
0 - 2
PAO
17%
22%
61%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 2
PAO
11%
21%
68%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
PGE
1 - 3
PAO
14%
22%
64%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
DZG
5 - 2
SLA
74%
17%
9%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
DZG
2 - 0
PAO
53%
23%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
OSI
1 - 1
DZG
31%
27%
42%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
DZG
4 - 0
HNG
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
DZG
1 - 0
RIJ
48%
24%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |