Panthrakikos vs Aris Thessaloniki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
63.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
17%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.3%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Panthrakikos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2011 |
PFC
1 - 0
IRA
50%
25%
25%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
FOK
0 - 1
PFC
38%
27%
35%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
PFC
2 - 0
AGR
62%
22%
16%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2011 |
THR
0 - 0
PFC
29%
27%
44%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
APS
0 - 2
PFC
51%
25%
25%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Aris Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
ARI
0 - 0
PGE
71%
20%
9%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
TRI
1 - 0
ARI
36%
28%
36%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
ARI
3 - 1
PAN
43%
27%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
PAN
2 - 1
ARI
41%
28%
32%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
OFI
0 - 1
ARI
16%
27%
57%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | +1 |