Panserraikos vs Aris Thessaloniki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
56.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.7%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
5º
11º
9º
42
5º
12º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Panserraikos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
PAO
5 - 0
PAN
77%
15%
8%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
PAN
2 - 2
VNF
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
GIA
0 - 2
PAN
55%
25%
19%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 4
PAO
18%
21%
61%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
LAM
0 - 2
PAN
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Aris Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
NIK
2 - 2
ARI
11%
21%
68%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
KIF
0 - 1
ARI
15%
25%
60%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
ARI
3 - 0
NIK
82%
13%
5%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ARI
1 - 2
OLP
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
ARI
1 - 1
AEK
41%
26%
34%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |