Panama vs Nicaragua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
11%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
16%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.6%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
8.3%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Panama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
CRC
0 - 1
PAN
53%
25%
23%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
ARG
2 - 0
PAN
86%
11%
4%
|
79 | 95 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
GTM
1 - 1
PAN
34%
26%
40%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
CMR
1 - 1
PAN
39%
28%
34%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2022 |
VEN
2 - 2
PAN
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Nicaragua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
TTO
1 - 1
NIC
72%
17%
11%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
NIC
4 - 1
VCT
60%
22%
18%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
GTM
3 - 1
NIC
78%
15%
7%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
NIC
1 - 0
SLV
15%
22%
64%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | +2 |
| 10 Nov. 2022 |
IRN
1 - 0
NIC
85%
11%
4%
|
52 | 89 | 37 | -1 |