Palmeiras vs XV de Piracicaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
16.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
9.9%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 1
PAL
65%
21%
15%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
PAL
1 - 0
BRA
68%
21%
11%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
VIT
1 - 4
PAL
12%
20%
68%
|
77 | 49 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
PAL
2 - 0
CAP
73%
18%
9%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 2
PAL
16%
22%
63%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2015 |
XVD
2 - 1
POR
44%
25%
31%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
XVD
33%
27%
40%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
XVD
2 - 1
BOT
44%
25%
31%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
LIN
2 - 1
XVD
41%
27%
33%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
RBB
2 - 3
XVD
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |