Copa do Brasil Quarter-finals
Global 1-3
Palmeiras vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
23.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
PAL
1 - 1
FLA
45%
24%
31%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 0
PAL
44%
26%
30%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
ATP
2 - 2
PAL
39%
27%
34%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
PAL
4 - 0
BOL
83%
12%
6%
|
90 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
PAL
0 - 1
BOT
65%
20%
15%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
BRA
0 - 0
SAO
37%
26%
37%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 0
PAL
44%
26%
30%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 0
FLU
43%
26%
32%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 0
TIG
72%
18%
11%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
CRZ
1 - 0
SAO
22%
26%
52%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | -1 |