Copa Libertadores Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 4-1
Palmeiras vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
15.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
PAL
3 - 0
BAH
77%
16%
8%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
LIB
1 - 1
PAL
27%
27%
46%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
SAN
2 - 2
PAL
32%
27%
41%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
PAL
5 - 0
DEL
78%
15%
7%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
PAL
3 - 0
ATP
68%
20%
13%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
LIB
1 - 1
GUA
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
LIB
1 - 1
PAL
27%
27%
46%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
LQE
2 - 2
LIB
18%
23%
59%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2020 |
JWI
0 - 2
LIB
32%
25%
44%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
LIB
3 - 0
12O
74%
17%
9%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |