Palmeiras vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.1%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
14%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.5%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.6%
4.2%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2022 |
PAL
2 - 0
ATP
72%
18%
10%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
INT
0 - 0
PAL
7%
21%
72%
|
90 | 54 | 36 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2022 |
ATP
2 - 2
PAL
27%
28%
46%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
PAL
1 - 0
SAN
88%
9%
3%
|
90 | 55 | 35 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
FER
0 - 2
PAL
8%
22%
70%
|
90 | 60 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2022 |
CMA
0 - 1
GUA
9%
16%
76%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 3
SAN
76%
16%
8%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
GUA
3 - 0
PPE
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
ITU
3 - 0
GUA
45%
24%
31%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
NOV
1 - 2
GUA
28%
27%
45%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |