Palmeiras vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
8.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
GOI
1 - 2
PAL
15%
24%
61%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
FLA
3 - 0
PAL
45%
26%
29%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2019 |
PAL
1 - 2
GRE
62%
22%
15%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2019 |
GRE
0 - 1
PAL
45%
26%
29%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
GRE
1 - 1
PAL
43%
26%
31%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
FOR
0 - 1
FLU
35%
27%
38%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2019 |
FLU
0 - 1
AVA
61%
23%
17%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2019 |
FLU
1 - 1
COR
38%
29%
33%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
COR
0 - 0
FLU
51%
26%
23%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
FLU
0 - 1
CSA
72%
19%
9%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |