Palmeiras vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
9.3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
VIT
0 - 3
PAL
20%
24%
56%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
PAL
1 - 0
BAH
73%
18%
9%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2018 |
PAL
1 - 0
VAS
73%
17%
10%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
CCP
0 - 2
PAL
31%
26%
43%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
AMF
0 - 0
PAL
17%
23%
60%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
BOT
0 - 3
ATM
35%
26%
39%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
BOT
2 - 0
NAC
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 1
BOT
22%
29%
50%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
BOT
0 - 0
SAN
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2018 |
NAC
2 - 1
BOT
44%
27%
29%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |