Copa Libertadores Eliminatorias Last 16
Global 1-0
Palmeiras vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
25%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
FLU
2 - 1
PAL
49%
25%
26%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
ATM
0 - 1
PAL
47%
25%
28%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
AMF
1 - 4
PAL
34%
27%
39%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
PAL
3 - 1
FOR
59%
23%
19%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
SCI
0 - 0
PAL
45%
26%
29%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 2
ATM
49%
26%
25%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
ATM
0 - 1
PAL
47%
25%
28%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
ATM
1 - 2
FLA
44%
25%
31%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 0
ATM
44%
26%
30%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
GOI
0 - 0
ATM
24%
26%
50%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |