CBF Brasileiro U20 Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Palmeiras U20 vs Cruzeiro U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
30.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
CRU
1 - 0
PAL
47%
24%
28%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
PAL
2 - 0
BAH
70%
18%
12%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
VIT
2 - 0
PAL
23%
24%
53%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2019 |
VAS
0 - 0
PAL
52%
25%
24%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
PAL
0 - 1
COR
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Cruzeiro U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
CRU
1 - 0
PAL
47%
24%
28%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
CRU
2 - 1
VAS
33%
25%
42%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
SPO
2 - 2
CRU
37%
25%
38%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
GRE
1 - 1
CRU
29%
25%
46%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2019 |
CRU
3 - 1
VIT
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | +1 |