Liga Brasileña Sub 17 Semi-finals
Global 5-3
Palmeiras U17 vs Corinthians U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.4%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.6%
7.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
COR
2 - 3
PAL
19%
21%
60%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
PAL
4 - 2
FLU
66%
18%
16%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
FLU
2 - 2
PAL
32%
23%
45%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
PAL
3 - 3
SPA
77%
14%
9%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
BAH
3 - 4
PAL
9%
15%
76%
|
55 | 27 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Corinthians U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
COR
2 - 3
PAL
19%
21%
60%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
COR
4 - 0
SAN
53%
23%
25%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 1
COR
39%
24%
37%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
COR
1 - 2
BRA
61%
21%
19%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
AME
1 - 3
COR
19%
19%
62%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |