Palmeira vs Santa Cruz RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
55%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
PAL
1 - 1
FEL
26%
22%
52%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
ABC
8 - 0
PAL
77%
15%
8%
|
22 | 56 | 34 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
PAL
2 - 6
GLO
13%
19%
68%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | -2 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
ASS
1 - 0
PAL
55%
21%
24%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 2
PAL
64%
20%
16%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 5
ABC
12%
20%
68%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
GLO
0 - 1
SAN
63%
21%
16%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 1
ASS
53%
24%
23%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
FEL
0 - 0
SAN
35%
23%
42%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SAN
0 - 4
ARN
19%
25%
57%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -1 |