Palmas FR vs Baré EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
37.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmas FR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
PRI
2 - 0
PAL
74%
17%
9%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
PAL
2 - 3
PRI
20%
22%
58%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -2 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 1
PAL
52%
22%
26%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
PAL
4 - 2
FRA
12%
17%
71%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | +4 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
PAL
0 - 2
TOC
31%
25%
44%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Baré EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 2
FRA
21%
20%
59%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
FRA
2 - 2
BAR
72%
16%
12%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 1
PAL
52%
22%
26%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -2 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
PRI
0 - 0
BAR
74%
15%
11%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 2
SAO
46%
23%
32%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |