Palestino vs Unión Española analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
26.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
2º
13º
5º
36
3º
16º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 62 |
1º
|
95% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 56 |
2º
|
74% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 52 |
3º
|
57% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 46 |
4º
|
27% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 45 |
5º
|
27% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 45 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 43 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 43 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 42 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 38 |
10º
|
39% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 35 |
11º
|
24% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 34 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 33 |
13º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 32 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 28 |
15º
|
39.5% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 27 |
16º
|
67.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores qualifying phase
|
3.5% | 3.5% |
|
CONMEBOL Sudamericana
|
76% | 44% |
|
Mid-table
|
20.5% | 52.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
COL
2 - 0
PAL
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
MIL
1 - 1
PAL
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
PAL
1 - 0
FLA
24%
24%
52%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
PAL
3 - 1
DCO
73%
17%
10%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
IQU
2 - 1
PAL
35%
27%
39%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
HUA
2 - 2
UNI
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 2
UCO
48%
24%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
OHI
2 - 2
UNI
33%
27%
40%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
UNI
5 - 3
DCO
67%
20%
13%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
UNI
4 - 2
EVE
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |