Paços de Ferreira vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.8%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.4%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.1%
17%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
75.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.6%
0-2
15.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
11.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
15.1%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
PAÇ
0 - 0
GFC
53%
26%
21%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2020 |
PAÇ
0 - 1
FAM
35%
27%
39%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
POR
0 - 0
PAÇ
44%
26%
31%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
MOR
35%
28%
38%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
PAÇ
1 - 4
SPB
16%
22%
62%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2020 |
SCP
0 - 2
SLB
25%
24%
52%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2020 |
SLB
3 - 2
RIO
81%
13%
6%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2020 |
SLB
2 - 1
AVE
86%
10%
4%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
VIT
0 - 1
SLB
17%
21%
62%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
VST
2 - 2
SLB
7%
16%
77%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |