Pachuca vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
26.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
CAZ
1 - 1
PAC
46%
25%
30%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
QRO
0 - 2
PAC
24%
25%
51%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
MON
3 - 1
PAC
46%
24%
29%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
PAC
0 - 1
ATS
64%
22%
15%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
MAZ
2 - 1
PAC
34%
24%
42%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
TOL
2 - 1
PUM
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
ATS
0 - 0
TOL
33%
27%
40%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
TOL
2 - 2
MAZ
70%
16%
13%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
CAZ
4 - 0
TOL
52%
24%
25%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
TIJ
0 - 2
TOL
32%
27%
42%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |