Oxford United vs Chelsea Sub 21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.8%
19.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
OXF
2 - 0
MAI
83%
12%
5%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
LIN
0 - 2
OXF
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
OXF
2 - 2
WYC
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
WIG
2 - 0
OXF
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
OXF
1 - 1
BPO
43%
27%
31%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
CHE
2 - 2
FUL
45%
24%
32%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
CHE
1 - 1
LEI
68%
19%
14%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
TOT
4 - 2
CHE
36%
24%
40%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
NOR
2 - 2
CHE
40%
23%
37%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
MCI
1 - 2
CHE
57%
22%
21%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |