Ostia Mare vs Siena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
65.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ostia Mare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
OST
1 - 1
FOL
58%
22%
20%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
PIA
1 - 0
OST
47%
25%
29%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
OST
1 - 2
TRA
35%
26%
39%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
SPO
2 - 1
OST
33%
26%
41%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
OST
1 - 3
MON
45%
26%
29%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
SIE
0 - 0
PIA
70%
20%
10%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
SIN
2 - 1
SIE
8%
16%
76%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
SIE
0 - 0
FOL
76%
17%
8%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
MON
1 - 0
SIE
16%
22%
62%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 0
SIE
13%
19%
68%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | -1 |