Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 8-3
Osasuna vs Calella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.2%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.2%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.4%
5.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Osasuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1970 |
CAS
3 - 2
OSA
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1970 |
OSA
2 - 0
VAD
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +2 |
| 08 Feb. 1970 |
SPO
3 - 0
OSA
82%
13%
6%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1970 |
CAL
2 - 0
OSA
24%
24%
52%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | -2 |
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
OSA
3 - 1
BET
32%
27%
42%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | +2 |
Matches
Calella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1970 |
CAL
1 - 0
ACC
85%
11%
5%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1970 |
CEM
1 - 2
CAL
43%
27%
30%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1970 |
CAL
6 - 1
GAV
79%
14%
8%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1970 |
CAL
2 - 0
OSA
24%
24%
52%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | +6 |
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
CFV
2 - 2
CAL
33%
26%
41%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |