Orpesa vs Rafalafena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
16%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orpesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
VAL
1 - 2
ORP
49%
22%
29%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ORP
7 - 0
PEN
42%
23%
35%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2022 |
ORP
3 - 2
TRA
33%
24%
44%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
BEN
1 - 3
ORP
33%
23%
45%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
ORP
1 - 2
LAL
84%
11%
5%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Rafalafena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
RAF
3 - 1
TRR
41%
24%
35%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CHE
2 - 0
RAF
66%
18%
17%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
RAF
6 - 1
ALC
41%
24%
35%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +2 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
RPL
2 - 2
RAF
63%
19%
18%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
RAF
1 - 2
NJC
14%
19%
67%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | -1 |