Ørn Horten vs Kjelsås analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
52.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ørn Horten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ORN
1 - 3
ASK
16%
19%
65%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
ORN
0 - 1
STR
31%
21%
48%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
MOS
7 - 1
ORN
80%
12%
7%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
ORN
1 - 1
NYB
28%
23%
49%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ALT
3 - 0
ORN
70%
17%
13%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Kjelsås
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
FIN
1 - 0
KJE
51%
24%
26%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
KJE
2 - 2
FIN
46%
23%
31%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
VAL
0 - 0
KJE
38%
24%
39%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
KJE
0 - 1
HAR
73%
16%
11%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
LYN
2 - 0
KJE
24%
23%
53%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | -2 |