Orly vs FC Libourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
56.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Libourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2006 |
FCL
2 - 1
FCG
43%
28%
30%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2006 |
STR
2 - 1
FCL
70%
20%
10%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2006 |
FCL
2 - 1
GRE
38%
28%
34%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2006 |
AJA
1 - 0
FCL
59%
25%
16%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2006 |
FCL
0 - 0
LHA
35%
29%
37%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |