Orgánica Masachapa vs Diriangén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
59.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
4º
8º
7º
36
2º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orgánica Masachapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
MAN
2 - 0
ORM
88%
9%
3%
|
15 | 61 | 46 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ORM
0 - 4
EST
12%
21%
67%
|
15 | 68 | 53 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
ORM
0 - 0
WAL
12%
21%
67%
|
15 | 63 | 48 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
JAP
2 - 0
ORM
80%
15%
5%
|
15 | 51 | 36 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ORM
2 - 1
MFC
9%
19%
72%
|
14 | 51 | 37 | +1 |
Matches
Diriangén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
JAP
0 - 3
DIR
14%
24%
63%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
DIR
2 - 0
WAL
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
UNA
1 - 3
DIR
17%
24%
60%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
DIR
2 - 1
CDS
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
EST
1 - 0
DIR
55%
23%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |