Sul-Matogrossense Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Operário MS vs Portuguesa MS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
13.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+1097%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Operário MS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
PMS
2 - 3
OPE
14%
20%
66%
|
46 | 21 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
OPE
0 - 1
IVI
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
IVI
0 - 1
OPE
33%
23%
44%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
OPE
1 - 0
PMS
68%
20%
13%
|
46 | 18 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
COS
0 - 3
OPE
43%
26%
32%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Portuguesa MS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
PMS
2 - 3
OPE
14%
20%
66%
|
21 | 46 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
AQU
0 - 1
PMS
66%
19%
15%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
PMS
2 - 2
AQU
16%
18%
66%
|
18 | 42 | 24 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
OPE
1 - 0
PMS
68%
20%
13%
|
18 | 46 | 28 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
NFC
3 - 4
PMS
12%
16%
73%
|
18 | 5 | 13 | 0 |