Operário MS vs Náutico MS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-67%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Operário MS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
PMS
1 - 1
OPE
12%
17%
71%
|
45 | 8 | 37 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
OPE
1 - 0
COS
27%
25%
48%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
NFC
0 - 2
OPE
12%
16%
73%
|
44 | 5 | 39 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
OPE
2 - 0
COX
51%
23%
26%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
OPE
0 - 1
FER
20%
27%
53%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico MS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
COX
3 - 1
NFC
76%
15%
9%
|
5 | 33 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
NFC
0 - 2
OPE
12%
16%
73%
|
5 | 44 | 39 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
PMS
2 - 0
NFC
44%
22%
34%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
NFC
1 - 3
COS
8%
14%
78%
|
7 | 50 | 43 | -1 |