Operário Ltda vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
70.1%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Operário Ltda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CUI
0 - 0
LTD
83%
12%
5%
|
42 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
LTD
0 - 2
NME
33%
23%
44%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
AAC
1 - 2
LTD
19%
20%
62%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
LTD
1 - 0
POC
62%
20%
19%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
LTD
3 - 0
MIX
50%
23%
27%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 0
ACA
86%
11%
3%
|
61 | 29 | 32 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
CRB
1 - 0
SAN
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
SAN
0 - 0
BAH
22%
25%
53%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
RFC
1 - 2
SAN
13%
18%
69%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
SAN
3 - 0
PET
85%
12%
3%
|
61 | 35 | 26 | 0 |