Olympique Marseille vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
28.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
2º
12º
8º
59
3º
12º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 1
AEK
53%
23%
24%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
NIC
1 - 0
MAR
36%
27%
37%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 0
LHA
73%
18%
9%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 2
BHA
15%
21%
63%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
MON
3 - 2
MAR
48%
24%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
LIL
2 - 0
MON
41%
25%
34%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2023 |
LIL
2 - 1
SBR
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
LIL
1 - 0
BRE
62%
22%
16%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
LEN
1 - 1
LIL
45%
26%
29%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
KLA
0 - 0
LIL
24%
25%
52%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |