Olympique Alès vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
37.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
6º
16º
8º
35
6º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 54 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 52 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
70% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
35 | 41 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
37.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 39 |
10º
|
61.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
11º
|
50.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
12º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
35 | 36 |
13º
|
50.5% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 49.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 50.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Alès
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
OLY
0 - 2
OLY
62%
21%
17%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
OLY
0 - 1
SAI
39%
27%
35%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
MON
2 - 2
OLY
9%
14%
77%
|
37 | 7 | 30 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
THO
2 - 0
OLY
40%
25%
35%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
OLY
0 - 1
GRA
26%
27%
47%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
AUX
2 - 0
SPO
52%
26%
23%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
SPO
2 - 1
CSL
35%
25%
40%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 0
SPO
61%
23%
16%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
SPO
1 - 1
AUB
51%
25%
24%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SPO
2 - 4
HYE
56%
25%
20%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |