Olympique Alès vs Paris FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.5%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
72.1%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Alès
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
OLY
1 - 1
CHA
54%
24%
22%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
FCM
1 - 2
OLY
77%
15%
8%
|
43 | 62 | 19 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
FRE
0 - 0
OLY
47%
26%
28%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
OLY
2 - 3
SPO
53%
24%
23%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
OLY
6 - 1
RSD
76%
15%
9%
|
43 | 7 | 36 | +1 |
Matches
Paris FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2023 |
PFC
2 - 2
QUE
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 1
PFC
25%
27%
48%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
PFC
3 - 1
SDF
86%
11%
3%
|
67 | 29 | 38 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
PFC
2 - 0
ROD
49%
27%
24%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
GUI
0 - 1
PFC
51%
26%
24%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |