UEFA Youth League 1/64
Global 6-2
Olympiacos U19 vs Lecce U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympiacos U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
PAS
1 - 2
OLY
28%
26%
46%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
OLY
4 - 2
KIF
86%
10%
4%
|
42 | 10 | 32 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
AEK
1 - 2
OLY
27%
22%
51%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
OLY
4 - 0
LAM
79%
13%
7%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
VOL
0 - 4
OLY
8%
16%
77%
|
41 | 13 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
LEC
1 - 1
ASS
35%
23%
42%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SAM
2 - 2
LEC
48%
23%
30%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
LEC
0 - 0
LAZ
33%
24%
44%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
LEC
0 - 3
JUV
39%
24%
37%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
VER
5 - 1
LEC
35%
24%
42%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -2 |