Cup Semi-finals
Global 4-3
Olympiacos vs PAOK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
22.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympiacos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2020 |
OLP
3 - 0
PAN
82%
13%
6%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2020 |
OLP
3 - 1
ARI
84%
11%
4%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2020 |
PAO
0 - 1
OLP
50%
23%
27%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2020 |
OLP
1 - 1
WOL
62%
21%
18%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
PAO
3 - 2
OLP
49%
24%
27%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
PAOK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2020 |
PAO
3 - 1
OFI
89%
9%
2%
|
87 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2020 |
PAN
0 - 0
PAO
20%
23%
57%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2020 |
PAO
0 - 1
OLP
50%
23%
27%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
PAO
3 - 2
OLP
49%
24%
27%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
XAN
1 - 1
PAO
6%
17%
77%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |