Olympiacos vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
39.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympiacos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
AEK
1 - 1
OLP
42%
27%
32%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
OLP
2 - 1
PAO
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
ARS
2 - 1
OLP
75%
17%
8%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ERG
2 - 3
OLP
34%
28%
38%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
OLP
2 - 1
XAN
68%
20%
12%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
BRE
0 - 2
BVB
42%
25%
33%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
BVB
4 - 0
AUG
67%
20%
12%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
MAR
3 - 0
BVB
52%
24%
24%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
M05
1 - 2
BVB
25%
25%
50%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
HAN
2 - 1
BVB
27%
25%
48%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | -1 |