Olympiacos vs Aris Thessaloniki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
14.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
5º
3º
42
5º
12º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympiacos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
OLP
4 - 0
KIF
84%
12%
4%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
OLP
2 - 3
SCF
27%
23%
50%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
AEK
1 - 1
OLP
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
OLP
4 - 0
LAM
79%
16%
6%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
ČUK
0 - 3
OLP
34%
27%
39%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Aris Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ARI
3 - 0
PGE
75%
17%
8%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
PAO
0 - 0
ARI
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
ARI
3 - 2
TRI
67%
22%
11%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
LAM
1 - 0
ARI
20%
27%
52%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
OFI
3 - 2
ARI
29%
28%
43%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |