Olimpo vs Dep. Santamarina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
11.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
1º
2º
1º
41
2º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
92.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
58% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 58% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 42% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 0
OLI
36%
28%
36%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
OLI
1 - 0
LIN
77%
16%
7%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
OLI
1 - 0
SAN
77%
17%
7%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
OLI
2 - 0
CDC
77%
16%
7%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
SDM
2 - 3
OLI
19%
25%
57%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Santamarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
RSA
0 - 0
SDM
57%
26%
18%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
GER
0 - 2
RSA
22%
26%
52%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
RSA
1 - 0
CIP
53%
26%
21%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 0
RSA
58%
24%
18%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
RSA
1 - 0
LIN
52%
26%
22%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |