Qualif. Champions Primera Ronda Final
Global 4-2
Olimpija Ljubljana vs Valmiera FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
38.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpija Ljubljana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
NKP
2 - 4
OLI
14%
20%
65%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
RUD
1 - 4
OLI
9%
16%
76%
|
75 | 46 | 29 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
OLI
1 - 0
HKS
25%
24%
51%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2023 |
SBR
2 - 1
OLI
50%
24%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
ELE
0 - 4
OLI
7%
15%
78%
|
75 | 42 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Valmiera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
VAL
6 - 0
FKT
70%
19%
11%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2023 |
AUD
0 - 0
VAL
27%
25%
49%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
LIE
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
RIG
3 - 0
VAL
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 0
CAR
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |