Rio Cup Quarter-finals
Global 8-2
Olaria vs Nova Iguaçu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
45%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+67%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
AUD
0 - 1
OLA
42%
26%
32%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
OLA
2 - 1
AUD
35%
28%
38%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
OLA
2 - 1
GOY
70%
20%
10%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
SAM
3 - 1
OLA
43%
25%
32%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
GOY
0 - 1
OLA
14%
22%
65%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Nova Iguaçu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
NOV
2 - 1
AME
45%
26%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
AME
1 - 1
NOV
36%
26%
38%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
ATH
3 - 1
NOV
51%
27%
22%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
NOV
1 - 1
REA
48%
27%
25%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 0
NOV
39%
30%
32%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |