Rio Cup Last 16
Global 3-1
Olaria vs Audax Rio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
37.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
OLA
2 - 1
GOY
70%
20%
10%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
SAM
3 - 1
OLA
43%
25%
32%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
GOY
0 - 1
OLA
14%
22%
65%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
OLA
0 - 0
SAM
45%
27%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
PET
0 - 1
OLA
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Audax Rio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
BOT
5 - 2
AUD
84%
12%
4%
|
50 | 80 | 30 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
AUD
1 - 2
BOT
11%
21%
68%
|
49 | 80 | 31 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
AUD
1 - 0
NOV
30%
27%
44%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
NOV
1 - 1
AUD
57%
24%
19%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
RES
0 - 2
AUD
40%
27%
34%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |