Odd vs Fredrikstad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
28.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
7º
16º
16º
37
2º
13º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 63 |
1º
|
88.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 56 |
2º
|
44.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 54 |
3º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 54 |
4º
|
35% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 48 |
5º
|
42.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 45 |
6º
|
41.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 40 |
7º
|
32.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 37 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 36 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 36 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 36 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 34 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 31 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 30 |
14º
|
16% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 30 |
15º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
22 | 29 |
16º
|
31% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 9.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
25% | 89% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
20.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
54.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Odd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2024 |
SAN
5 - 4
ODD
20%
20%
60%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ODD
3 - 3
VKG
25%
24%
51%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
POR
0 - 1
ODD
10%
16%
74%
|
71 | 46 | 25 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
BBS
2 - 0
ODD
60%
22%
19%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
MFK
1 - 2
ODD
72%
17%
12%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Fredrikstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2024 |
FFK
1 - 0
RBK
27%
23%
50%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
FFK
1 - 0
SDF
48%
25%
28%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
ETO
2 - 5
FFK
19%
21%
60%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
VKG
1 - 1
FFK
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
FFK
2 - 2
S08
30%
25%
45%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |