Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Venados FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
19.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
ATL
2 - 0
ALE
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
TOR
3 - 0
ALE
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2016 |
ALE
2 - 1
TOR
44%
27%
30%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CAÑ
1 - 1
ALE
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
ALE
0 - 0
UAT
59%
24%
18%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
MER
2 - 0
LOR
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
MER
1 - 1
CIM
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
JUA
4 - 0
MER
51%
27%
22%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
MER
2 - 1
TEP
40%
26%
34%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
UAP
6 - 1
MER
38%
28%
35%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -4 |