Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Deportivo Tepic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
19.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
UAT
0 - 1
ALE
36%
27%
37%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ALE
3 - 3
CAÑ
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
MUR
3 - 2
ALE
15%
24%
61%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
ALE
2 - 0
LOB
54%
23%
23%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
AUR
2 - 1
ALE
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Tepic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
TEP
3 - 1
AUR
51%
26%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
JUA
1 - 2
TEP
46%
28%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
TEP
2 - 2
AUR
50%
23%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
TEP
1 - 0
MER
59%
25%
16%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
TEP
3 - 2
MUR
73%
17%
11%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |